Shane Lowry among long shots worth betting on in RSM Classic

1

Due to being the event immediately held post-Masters this year, the RSM Classic arguably has the best field in its history.

Webb Simpson (10/1 at BetMGM), fresh off a top-10 finish at Augusta, has two runners-up here and lost in the playoff last year so he is a logical odds-on tournament favorite. Sungjae Im tied for second at the Masters and he shares a 18/1 price with OWGR No. 10 Tyrrell Hatton, who is part of a sizable contingent of European players who elected to stick around Georgia for another week.

Georgia Bulldogs have had a lot of success in this event’s short history, and a large group of them will get a “home game” of sorts including Russell Henley (25/1), Harris English (28/1), Kevin Kisner (40/1), Brian Harman (50/1), Brendon Todd (55/1), Sepp Straka (80/1), Hudson Swafford (200/1) and Keith Mitchell (250/1).

Louis Oosthuizen (28/1) and Jason Day (33/1) make their first appearances here since the early 2010s.

Here are some players who are worth a wager this weekend at the Sea Island Plantation and Seaside courses.

Russell Henley (25/1)

This “Dawg” is in excellent form and has motivation. Henley did not play at Augusta last week. He currently is OWGR No. 58, and the top 50 in March will earn invitations to the Masters just five months from now. The more direct path is obviously to win an event, and Henley is certainly capable of that here. He has four top 10s in his last seven events and five in his last 11.

Shane Lowry (33/1)

For the most part I’m looking to stay away from players who were part of last weekend’s Masters, but Lowry (T-25th at Augusta) is an interesting look for this week. The form is not off-the-charts good, but Lowry has made four straight cuts. While Sea Island is not a pure links setup, it does have some links characteristics and the wind is expected to be steady so this could be right up the Irishman’s alley.

Doc Redman (60/1)

Like Henley, Redman is looking to move up in the OWGR to earn a Masters spot. He has been steadily knocking at the door with three top-4 or better finishes in his last seven events this fall. The former U.S. Amateur champion held the 54-hole lead three weeks ago at the Bermuda Championship, which was his first time in that situation on the PGA Tour and he was unable to close it out to earn his first PGA Tour victory. He has had three weeks to get over that near-miss and the price has drifted up due to a stronger field and that makes him worth a play at a bigger number.

Danny Willett (90/1)

Another member of the European contingent sticking around for another week after finishing T-25 at the Masters last weekend. He led the field for Strokes Gained: Approach last week at Augusta gaining +8.6 shots on the field.

Matthew NeSmith (90/1)

Has only one appearance here as a PGA Tour player (14th last year), but he does have fairly extensive experience on this track. Like Henley, NeSmith is a former SEC champion (2015) at Sea Island. He has a form line of 20-21-1-13 in his four years here during his collegiate golf career at South Carolina. He also ranks tops in this week’s field for Greens In Regulation thus far in the 2020-21 PGA Tour season.

Henrik Norlander (100/1)

Did not participate in last week’s Masters in what would have been a home game for the Swede who played his collegiate golf at Augusta State.

Patton Kizzire (110/1)

Won the SEC Championship in 2007 at Sea Island during his collegiate golf career at Auburn. Has made four straight cuts and has played progressively better each time.

Will Gordon (125/1)

Finished 10th in his debut here last year, and as a collegian at Vanderbilt, was third in the 2019 SEC Championship at Sea Island.

View original post